Recently I've been deep-diving into a model of brain, mind, and behavior—active inference and the free energy principle—developed by a leading neuroscientist and computational psychiatrist Karl ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Bryce Hoffman writes about leadership, strategy, and decision making. The gambler’s fallacy is ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Bryce Hoffman writes about leadership, strategy, and decision making. The hot-hand fallacy is a cognitive bias that leads ...

We often move through life believing that happiness, calm, peace, and fulfillment are waiting for us just beyond the next milestone. I fell into this trap often in undergraduate and graduate school. I ...

A quick guide to logical fallacies. Fallacies include ad hominem, appeals to authority, the fallacy fallacy, circular arguments, etc. Iran reacts to California surprise attack reports El Niño coming ...